Predictions for the 2019 Houston Half-Marathon (with a Canadian lens)

With the first semi-major marathon and major half-marathon occurring in Houston, I was thinking this would be a great race make my first 2019 race predictions.

To check out the full start lists, click here.

Image result for houston marathon
Courtesy: Houston Marathon Website

Here are my predicted podiums:

Women’s Half:

I predict the top 3 will be:

  1. Gladys Cherono (pb: 1:06:07)
  2. Fancy Chemutai (pb: 1:05:52)
  3. Brigid Kosgei (pb: 1:06:35)

Dark Horse: Emily Sisson (1:08:21). The American has been on the up-and-up in the last two seasons and rumours are she is looking to take a crack at the American Olympic Trials and Tokyo 2020.

There is also a tonne of Canadian Content:

Natasha Wodak – 1:11:20
Dayna Pidhoresky – 1:12:38
Lyndsay Tessier – 1:14:29
Catherine Watkins – 1:16:48

Expect Wodak to give the Canadian Half Marathon Record by Rachel Cliff (1:10:08) a run for the money. If Wodak doesn’t break it, look for Cliff to do so in a week’s time.

Dayna Pidhoresky is perhaps one of Canada’s most underrated runners. Making her World Championship debut in 2017, Pidhoresky had a quieter 2018 but should also be looking for the Olympic standard in the full this year.

Lyndsay Tessier has had a breakout two years, and a runner I left off my list to consider for Tokyo. If she puts in a big run this weekend, perhaps I should reconsider.

Catherine Watkins is a runner I do not know much about. Her pb of 1:16:48 is crazy fast but the slowest in the elite field. Will she be pulled along on Sunday?

Men’s Half:

I predict the top 3 will be:

  1. Bedan Karoki Muchiri (58:42:00)
  2. Jemal Yimer (58:33:00)
  3. Bernard Ngeno (59:22:00)

Dark Horse: Dewi Griffiths (1:01:33). Don’t expect a Griffiths victory as the field for the men’s side is incredibly deep, but expect him to challenge for the top 8 and brea up the East African dominance in the top 10.

What to watch: This race features Five sub-60 minute male athletes: Bedan Karoki Muchiri, Shura Kitata, Bernard Ngeno, El Hassan El Abbassi, Geoffrey Koech

Houston Marathon: Stories to Watch

Sasha Gollish of Canada is toeing the line in her second marathon attempt. Although she did not finish in Berlin, expect her to finish this time. I predict a 2:31 which would put her in the Tokyo conversation. This story was one of my top 15 questions going into 2019.

Kara Goucher is making her return. Goucher, one of the best American Marathoners in history, is toeing the line for the first time in a while. Goucher has few expectations but has admitted her eyes are on the Olympic trials.

Are you interested in the Houston Marathon and Half Marathon? Will you be watching? Do you have predictions? Let me know in the comments!

As always, please follow me on Twitter @AndersenRuns.


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